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PSM · Screening: length-time bias
Sample itemA mammography programme reports that women whose cancers were detected on screening survive longer than women whose cancers presented with a lump between screening rounds. Reviewers point out that screening preferentially detects slow-growing, less aggressive tumours, while fast-growing tumours tend to appear clinically in the intervals. Which bias is described?
Original practice item, not a recalled exam question. Nothing here is recorded.
The answer and the reasoning
B. Length-time bias
Length-time bias occurs because periodic screening is more likely to find slowly progressive disease, which has a long preclinical phase, than rapidly progressive disease. Screen-detected cases therefore seem to have better survival even if screening does not change the outcome. A randomised trial with mortality as the outcome avoids both length and lead-time bias.
Option by option
A. Recall bias
Recall bias is differential recollection of exposure and does not apply to screening outcomes.
B. Length-time bias (correct)
Correct. Over-representation of slow-growing disease among screen-detected cases is length-time bias.
C. Berkson's bias
Berkson's bias arises from different hospital admission rates among cases and controls.
D. Lead-time bias
Lead-time bias is the apparent lengthening of survival simply because diagnosis is made earlier, regardless of tumour behaviour.
Source note: Original NextPrep sample item — pending expert review. This item is original practice material awaiting independent expert review, so confirm important facts in a standard textbook.
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