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PSM · Biostatistics: chi-square calculation
Sample itemIn a study, 30 of 100 exposed people and 10 of 100 unexposed people developed the disease. What is the chi-square value and its interpretation (critical value 3.84 at 1 degree of freedom, 5% level)?
Original practice item, not a recalled exam question. Nothing here is recorded.
The answer and the reasoning
C. 12.5, significant because it exceeds 3.84
With a = 30, b = 70, c = 10, d = 90 and N = 200, chi-square = N(ad - bc)^2 / [(a+b)(c+d)(a+c)(b+d)]. The numerator is 200 x (2700 - 700)^2 = 800,000,000 and the denominator is 100 x 100 x 40 x 160 = 64,000,000, giving 12.5. This exceeds 3.84, so the association is significant at the 5% level.
Option by option
A. 12.5, not significant because the degrees of freedom are 2
A 2 x 2 table has (2 - 1) x (2 - 1) = 1 degree of freedom, not 2.
B. 6.25, significant because it exceeds 3.84
This omits N or mishandles the arithmetic; the correct value is 12.5.
C. 12.5, significant because it exceeds 3.84 (correct)
Correct. The value is 12.5, well above the critical 3.84 for 1 degree of freedom.
D. 0.06, not significant because it is below 3.84
This omits the multiplication by N and wrongly concludes non-significance.
Source note: Original NextPrep sample item — pending expert review. This item is original practice material awaiting independent expert review, so confirm important facts in a standard textbook.
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